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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 45.36%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 29.01% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.15%) and 0-2 (7.98%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 1-0 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Luton Town | Draw | Blackburn Rovers |
| 29.01% | 25.63% | 45.36% |
| Both teams to score 53.02% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.34% | 50.66% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.44% | 72.56% |
| Luton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.24% | 31.76% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.81% | 68.19% |
| Blackburn Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.7% | 22.3% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.24% | 55.76% |
| Score Analysis |
| Luton Town | Draw | Blackburn Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 8.12% 2-1 @ 6.99% 2-0 @ 4.66% 3-1 @ 2.67% 3-2 @ 2.01% 3-0 @ 1.78% Other @ 2.78% Total : 29.01% | 1-1 @ 12.19% 0-0 @ 7.08% 2-2 @ 5.25% 3-3 @ 1% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.64% | 0-1 @ 10.62% 1-2 @ 9.15% 0-2 @ 7.98% 1-3 @ 4.58% 0-3 @ 3.99% 2-3 @ 2.62% 1-4 @ 1.72% 0-4 @ 1.5% 2-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.23% Total : 45.35% |