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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 54.57%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Luton Town had a probability of 20.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.4%) and 1-2 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.61%), while for a Luton Town win it was 1-0 (7.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brentford would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Luton Town | Draw | Brentford |
| 20.95% | 24.48% | 54.57% |
| Both teams to score 48.67% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.49% | 52.51% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.82% | 74.18% |
| Luton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.2% | 39.8% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.53% | 76.46% |
| Brentford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.84% | 19.16% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.17% | 50.82% |
| Score Analysis |
| Luton Town | Draw | Brentford |
| 1-0 @ 7.03% 2-1 @ 5.35% 2-0 @ 3.24% 3-1 @ 1.64% 3-2 @ 1.36% 3-0 @ 0.99% Other @ 1.35% Total : 20.95% | 1-1 @ 11.61% 0-0 @ 7.63% 2-2 @ 4.42% Other @ 0.82% Total : 24.48% | 0-1 @ 12.6% 0-2 @ 10.4% 1-2 @ 9.59% 0-3 @ 5.73% 1-3 @ 5.28% 2-3 @ 2.43% 0-4 @ 2.37% 1-4 @ 2.18% 2-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.97% Total : 54.56% |