Championship

Championship | Gameweek 6

Oct 20, 2020 at 7.45pm UK

The Den

Millwall
2 - 0
Luton

Cranie (45+3' og.), Mahoney (79')
Leonard (38'), Woods (60')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Cranie (66')

Reaction

Millwall manager Gary Rowett pictured in July 2020

Gary Rowett plays down promotion talk after Millwall move fourth

The Lions defeated Luton 2-0.

Oct 20, 22:20

The Match

Match Report

The winger scored the clinching goal after Martin Cranie's own goal.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Millwall and Luton Town, including predictions and team news.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 45.33%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Luton Town had a probability of 26.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.09%) and 2-1 (8.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.95%), while for a Luton Town win it was 0-1 (9.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Millwall would win this match.

Result
Millwall	Draw	Luton Town
45.33%	28.05%	26.61%

Both teams to score 44.52%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.15%

60.84%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.12%

80.87%

Millwall Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.17%

26.83%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.87%

62.12%

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.84%

39.15%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.13%

75.86%

Score Analysis

Millwall 45.33%

Luton Town 26.61%

Draw 28.04%

Millwall	Draw	Luton Town
1-0 @ 13.82% 2-0 @ 9.09% 2-1 @ 8.53% 3-0 @ 3.99% 3-1 @ 3.74% 3-2 @ 1.75% 4-0 @ 1.31% 4-1 @ 1.23% Other @ 1.87% Total : 45.33%	1-1 @ 12.95% 0-0 @ 10.5% 2-2 @ 4% Other @ 0.59% Total : 28.04%	0-1 @ 9.85% 1-2 @ 6.08% 0-2 @ 4.62% 1-3 @ 1.9% 0-3 @ 1.44% 2-3 @ 1.25% Other @ 1.48% Total : 26.61%