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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest win with a probability of 39.92%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 33.44% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.5%) and 0-2 (7.05%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 1-0 (9.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Luton Town | Draw | Nottingham Forest |
| 33.44% | 26.64% | 39.92% |
| Both teams to score 51.72% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.81% | 53.19% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.24% | 74.76% |
| Luton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.02% | 29.98% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.91% | 66.09% |
| Nottingham Forest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.87% | 26.13% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.8% | 61.2% |
| Score Analysis |
| Luton Town | Draw | Nottingham Forest |
| 1-0 @ 9.44% 2-1 @ 7.63% 2-0 @ 5.69% 3-1 @ 3.06% 3-0 @ 2.28% 3-2 @ 2.06% 4-1 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.36% Total : 33.44% | 1-1 @ 12.66% 0-0 @ 7.83% 2-2 @ 5.12% 3-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.63% | 0-1 @ 10.51% 1-2 @ 8.5% 0-2 @ 7.05% 1-3 @ 3.8% 0-3 @ 3.16% 2-3 @ 2.29% 1-4 @ 1.28% 0-4 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.28% Total : 39.92% |