EFL Cup

EFL Cup | Third Round

Sep 22, 2020 at 8.15pm UK

Kenilworth Road

Luton
0 - 3
Man Utd

Kioso (67'), Hylton (85')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Mata (44' pen.), Rashford (88'), Greenwood (90+2')
Williams (57')

Reaction

Luton manager Nathan Jones pictured on June 27, 2020

Nathan Jones "so proud" of Luton's performance against Manchester United

United boss Ole Gunnar Solskjaer bemoaned a lack of pre-season training and made 10 changes for Tuesday's 3-0 third-round Carabao Cup win.

Sep 23, 12:02

Mason Greenwood in UEFA Nations League action for England on September 7, 2020

Ole Gunnar Solskjaer: 'Mason Greenwood needs to learn how to head a ball'

The England international was introduced late on alongside Marcus Rashford and Bruno Fernandes as United struggled to see off their hosts.

Sep 22, 22:58

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 62.38%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Luton Town had a probability of 17.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.94%) and 0-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.59%), while for a Luton Town win it was 2-1 (4.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.

Result
Luton Town	Draw	Manchester United
17.16%	20.46%	62.38%

Both teams to score 54.88%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.05%

40.95%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.66%

63.34%

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.78%

37.23%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.99%

74.01%

Manchester United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.43%

12.58%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.35%

38.65%

Score Analysis

Luton Town 17.16%

Manchester United 62.38%

Draw 20.46%

Luton Town	Draw	Manchester United
2-1 @ 4.74% 1-0 @ 4.63% 2-0 @ 2.29% 3-2 @ 1.62% 3-1 @ 1.56% Other @ 2.33% Total : 17.16%	1-1 @ 9.59% 2-2 @ 4.91% 0-0 @ 4.68% 3-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 0.16% Total : 20.46%	0-2 @ 10.06% 1-2 @ 9.94% 0-1 @ 9.71% 0-3 @ 6.96% 1-3 @ 6.87% 0-4 @ 3.61% 1-4 @ 3.56% 2-3 @ 3.4% 2-4 @ 1.76% 0-5 @ 1.5% 1-5 @ 1.48% Other @ 3.54% Total : 62.38%