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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 43.21%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 31.57% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.01%) and 0-2 (7.18%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 1-0 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Luton Town | Draw | Blackburn Rovers |
| 31.57% | 25.22% | 43.21% |
| Both teams to score 55.72% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.25% | 47.75% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.05% | 69.94% |
| Luton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.49% | 28.5% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.72% | 64.28% |
| Blackburn Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.93% | 22.06% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.59% | 55.41% |
| Score Analysis |
| Luton Town | Draw | Blackburn Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 7.89% 2-1 @ 7.49% 2-0 @ 4.95% 3-1 @ 3.13% 3-2 @ 2.37% 3-0 @ 2.07% 4-1 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.68% Total : 31.57% | 1-1 @ 11.92% 0-0 @ 6.29% 2-2 @ 5.66% 3-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.21% | 0-1 @ 9.5% 1-2 @ 9.01% 0-2 @ 7.18% 1-3 @ 4.54% 0-3 @ 3.62% 2-3 @ 2.85% 1-4 @ 1.72% 0-4 @ 1.37% 2-4 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.34% Total : 43.21% |