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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest win with a probability of 37.16%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 36.58% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.23%) and 2-0 (6.3%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 0-1 (9.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Nottingham Forest | Draw | Cardiff City |
| 37.16% | 26.25% | 36.58% |
| Both teams to score 53.38% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.74% | 51.26% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.91% | 73.09% |
| Nottingham Forest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.23% | 26.77% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.95% | 62.05% |
| Cardiff City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.9% | 27.1% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.51% | 62.49% |
| Score Analysis |
| Nottingham Forest | Draw | Cardiff City |
| 1-0 @ 9.56% 2-1 @ 8.23% 2-0 @ 6.3% 3-1 @ 3.61% 3-0 @ 2.77% 3-2 @ 2.36% 4-1 @ 1.19% 4-0 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.23% Total : 37.16% | 1-1 @ 12.48% 0-0 @ 7.26% 2-2 @ 5.37% 3-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.25% | 0-1 @ 9.47% 1-2 @ 8.15% 0-2 @ 6.18% 1-3 @ 3.55% 0-3 @ 2.69% 2-3 @ 2.34% 1-4 @ 1.16% Other @ 3.05% Total : 36.58% |