Championship | Gameweek 44
Jul 14, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
Cardiff2 - 1Derby
The Match
Match Report
The Bluebirds remain in the top-six with two games to play.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between promotion-chasing rivals Cardiff City and Derby County, including team news and predicted lineups.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 41.11%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 32.25% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Derby County win was 0-1 (9.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cardiff City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cardiff City | Draw | Derby County |
| 41.11% | 26.64% | 32.25% |
| Both teams to score 51.38% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
