Championship

Championship | Gameweek 45

Jul 19, 2020 at 3pm UK

Oakwell Ground

Barnsley
1 - 0
Nott'm Forest

Schmidt (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Watson (51')

Reaction

Barnsley boss Gerhard Struber on February 8, 2020

Gerhard Struber insists Barnsley are "ready" for all-or-nothing final day

The win moves Barnsley to within two points of Charlton in 21st.

Jul 19, 18:18

The Match

Match Report

The Reds could yet survive in the Sky Bet Championship.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Championship clash between Barnsley and Nottingham Forest, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 44.03%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 30.13% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 0-1 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Barnsley in this match.

Result
Barnsley	Draw	Nottingham Forest
44.03%	25.84%	30.13%

Both teams to score 53.01%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.04%

50.96%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.16%

72.84%

Barnsley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.94%

23.06%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.11%

56.89%

Nottingham Forest Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.9%

31.1%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.57%

67.43%

Score Analysis

Barnsley 44.03%

Nottingham Forest 30.14%

Draw 25.83%

Barnsley	Draw	Nottingham Forest
1-0 @ 10.52% 2-1 @ 9.02% 2-0 @ 7.72% 3-1 @ 4.41% 3-0 @ 3.78% 3-2 @ 2.58% 4-1 @ 1.62% 4-0 @ 1.39% 4-2 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.07% Total : 44.03%	1-1 @ 12.28% 0-0 @ 7.17% 2-2 @ 5.26% 3-3 @ 1% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.83%	0-1 @ 8.38% 1-2 @ 7.18% 0-2 @ 4.89% 1-3 @ 2.79% 2-3 @ 2.05% 0-3 @ 1.9% Other @ 2.95% Total : 30.14%