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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 44.7%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 30.74% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.99%) and 0-2 (7.17%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 2-1 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Luton Town | Draw | Barnsley |
| 30.74% | 24.56% | 44.7% |
| Both teams to score 57.56% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.83% | 45.17% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.48% | 67.52% |
| Luton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.23% | 27.77% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.65% | 63.35% |
| Barnsley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.69% | 20.31% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.31% | 52.69% |
| Score Analysis |
| Luton Town | Draw | Barnsley |
| 2-1 @ 7.38% 1-0 @ 7.23% 2-0 @ 4.63% 3-1 @ 3.15% 3-2 @ 2.51% 3-0 @ 1.98% 4-1 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.85% Total : 30.74% | 1-1 @ 11.51% 2-2 @ 5.88% 0-0 @ 5.64% 3-3 @ 1.34% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.55% | 1-2 @ 9.18% 0-1 @ 8.99% 0-2 @ 7.17% 1-3 @ 4.88% 0-3 @ 3.81% 2-3 @ 3.13% 1-4 @ 1.94% 0-4 @ 1.52% 2-4 @ 1.25% Other @ 2.85% Total : 44.7% |