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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 40.11%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 34.18% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.65%) and 0-2 (6.71%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 1-0 (8.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Reading would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Luton Town | Draw | Reading |
| 34.18% | 25.71% | 40.11% |
| Both teams to score 54.92% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.84% | 49.16% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.77% | 71.22% |
| Luton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.46% | 27.53% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.95% | 63.04% |
| Reading Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.79% | 24.2% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.45% | 58.54% |
| Score Analysis |
| Luton Town | Draw | Reading |
| 1-0 @ 8.6% 2-1 @ 7.86% 2-0 @ 5.54% 3-1 @ 3.38% 3-2 @ 2.4% 3-0 @ 2.38% 4-1 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.92% Total : 34.18% | 1-1 @ 12.19% 0-0 @ 6.66% 2-2 @ 5.58% 3-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.71% | 0-1 @ 9.45% 1-2 @ 8.65% 0-2 @ 6.71% 1-3 @ 4.09% 0-3 @ 3.17% 2-3 @ 2.64% 1-4 @ 1.45% 0-4 @ 1.13% 2-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.89% Total : 40.11% |