Championship

Championship | Gameweek 44

Jul 16, 2020 at 5pm UK

Elland Road

Leeds
1 - 0
Barnsley

Sollbauer (28' og.)
Hernandez (90+2')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Sollbauer (90+4')

Reaction

Leeds United manager Marcelo Bielsa pictured on July 4, 2020

Marcelo Bielsa rejects PL talk despite moving to within one point of promotion

A 1-0 victory over Barnsley left the leaders five points clear.

Jul 16, 21:14

The Match

Match Report

Marcelo Bielsa's side were 1-0 winners thanks to an own goal from Michael Sollbauer.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Championship clash between Leeds United and Barnsley, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 63.75%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Barnsley had a probability of 15.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.83%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.03%), while for a Barnsley win it was 0-1 (5.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Leeds United in this match.

Result
Leeds United	Draw	Barnsley
63.75%	21.1%	15.15%

Both teams to score 48.27%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.53%

47.47%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.32%

69.68%

Leeds United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.79%

14.21%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.06%

41.94%

Barnsley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.26%

43.73%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.09%

79.91%

Score Analysis

Leeds United 63.74%

Barnsley 15.15%

Draw 21.1%

Leeds United	Draw	Barnsley
1-0 @ 12.12% 2-0 @ 11.83% 2-1 @ 9.78% 3-0 @ 7.69% 3-1 @ 6.36% 4-0 @ 3.75% 4-1 @ 3.1% 3-2 @ 2.63% 5-0 @ 1.47% 4-2 @ 1.28% 5-1 @ 1.21% Other @ 2.51% Total : 63.74%	1-1 @ 10.03% 0-0 @ 6.22% 2-2 @ 4.05% Other @ 0.8% Total : 21.1%	0-1 @ 5.14% 1-2 @ 4.15% 0-2 @ 2.13% 1-3 @ 1.14% 2-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 1.48% Total : 15.15%