EFL Cup
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fnorlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fcarlog.png)
-
Nicky Adams
23'
-
Harry Smith
33'
-
Fraser Horsfall
46'
-
Matthew Warburton
49'
-
Ryan Watson
57'
-
Ryan Watson
59'
-
Matthew Warburton
61'
-
Leandro Bacuna
28'
-
Junior Hoilett
40'
-
Tom Sang
79'
Northampton Town vs Cardiff City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Reaction
News
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F20%2F31%2Fneil-harris.jpg)
The match
Result
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F15%2F39%2Fryan-watson.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 41.17%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 33.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.8%) and 0-2 (6.76%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 1-0 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
Result
Northampton Town
33.5%
Draw
25.33%
Cardiff City
41.17%
Both Teams to Score:
56.05%
Goals
Over 2.5
52.37%
Under 2.5
47.63%
Over 3.5
30.17%
Under 3.5
69.83%
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5
72.78%
Under 0.5
27.22%
Over 1.5
37.36%
Under 1.5
62.64%
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5
77.01%
Under 0.5
22.99%
Over 1.5
43.21%
Under 1.5
56.79%
Score analysis
Northampton Town
33.5%
Draw
25.33%
Cardiff City
41.17%
Northampton Town
1-0
@
8.14%
2-1 @ 7.79%
2-0 @ 5.3%
3-1 @ 3.38%
3-2 @ 2.48%
3-0 @ 2.3%
4-1 @ 1.1%
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 33.5%
2-1 @ 7.79%
2-0 @ 5.3%
3-1 @ 3.38%
3-2 @ 2.48%
3-0 @ 2.3%
4-1 @ 1.1%
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 33.5%
Draw
1-1
@
11.97%
0-0 @ 6.26%
2-2 @ 5.73%
3-3 @ 1.22%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.33%
0-0 @ 6.26%
2-2 @ 5.73%
3-3 @ 1.22%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.33%
Cardiff City
0-1
@
9.2%
1-2 @ 8.8%
0-2 @ 6.76%
1-3 @ 4.31%
0-3 @ 3.31%
2-3 @ 2.81%
1-4 @ 1.59%
0-4 @ 1.22%
2-4 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 41.17%
1-2 @ 8.8%
0-2 @ 6.76%
1-3 @ 4.31%
0-3 @ 3.31%
2-3 @ 2.81%
1-4 @ 1.59%
0-4 @ 1.22%
2-4 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 41.17%