League Two

Jun 29, 2020 at 7.30pm UK

Wembley Stadium

Exeter
0 - 4
Northampton

Martin (86')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Watson (11'), Morton (31'), Hoskins (80'), Williams (89')
Wharton (4'), Watson (54')

Reaction

Exeter manager Matt Taylor pictured in August 2019

Matt Taylor: 'Exeter season counts for nothing after playoff loss'

The Grecians were beaten at Wembley for the third time in four campaigns.

Jun 30, 17:19

Northampton Town players celebrate winning promotion via the League Two playoff final on June 29, 2020

Northampton promoted: A closer look at manager Keith Curle

The Cobblers thrashed Exeter 4-0 on Monday and will play in the third tier next season.

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Keith Curle admits he "needed a promotion" after Northampton go up

Northampton controlled the behind-closed-doors contest from start to finish to end a two-year absence from League One.

Jun 29, 22:05

The Match

Match Report

Strikes from Ryan Watson, Callum Morton, Sam Hoskins and substitute Andy Williams earned the Cobblers a resounding success.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League Two playoff final between Exeter City and Northampton Town, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 44.99%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 28.46% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (8.34%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 0-1 (8.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.

Result
Exeter City	Draw	Northampton Town
44.99%	26.56%	28.46%

Both teams to score 49.86%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.4%

54.6%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.06%

75.94%

Exeter City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.83%

24.17%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.5%

58.5%

Northampton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.76%

34.24%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.06%

70.94%

Score Analysis

Exeter City 44.98%

Northampton Town 28.46%

Draw 26.55%

Exeter City	Draw	Northampton Town
1-0 @ 11.75% 2-1 @ 8.94% 2-0 @ 8.34% 3-1 @ 4.23% 3-0 @ 3.95% 3-2 @ 2.27% 4-1 @ 1.5% 4-0 @ 1.4% Other @ 2.59% Total : 44.98%	1-1 @ 12.59% 0-0 @ 8.28% 2-2 @ 4.79% Other @ 0.89% Total : 26.55%	0-1 @ 8.87% 1-2 @ 6.75% 0-2 @ 4.75% 1-3 @ 2.41% 2-3 @ 1.71% 0-3 @ 1.7% Other @ 2.26% Total : 28.46%