Championship

Championship | Gameweek 5

Oct 17, 2020 at 3pm UK

Kenilworth Road Stadium

Luton
0 - 2
Stoke

Hylton (20'), Ruddock (25')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Fletcher (46'), Powell (55')
Davies (20'), Batth (33')

Reaction

Luton manager Nathan Jones pictured on June 27, 2020

Nathan Jones unhappy with Luton Town's defending against Stoke City

Goals from Steven Fletcher and Nick Powell secured the points for the Potters.

Oct 17, 17:29

The Match

Match Report

Steven Fletcher scored his first goal for Stoke.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship fixture between Luton Town and Stoke City, including predictions and team news.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 43.19%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 29.71% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.69%) and 0-2 (8.08%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 1-0 (9.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stoke City would win this match.

Result
Luton Town	Draw	Stoke City
29.71%	27.11%	43.19%

Both teams to score 48.93%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.88%

56.13%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.81%

77.19%

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.91%

34.1%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.22%

70.78%

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.24%

25.76%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.3%

60.7%

Score Analysis

Luton Town 29.71%

Stoke City 43.18%

Draw 27.1%

Luton Town	Draw	Stoke City
1-0 @ 9.45% 2-1 @ 6.9% 2-0 @ 5.08% 3-1 @ 2.47% 3-0 @ 1.82% 3-2 @ 1.68% Other @ 2.3% Total : 29.71%	1-1 @ 12.81% 0-0 @ 8.78% 2-2 @ 4.68% Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.1%	0-1 @ 11.91% 1-2 @ 8.69% 0-2 @ 8.08% 1-3 @ 3.93% 0-3 @ 3.65% 2-3 @ 2.12% 1-4 @ 1.33% 0-4 @ 1.24% Other @ 2.23% Total : 43.18%