Championship

Championship | Gameweek 3

Sep 26, 2020 at 12.30pm UK

Vicarage Road

Watford
1 - 0
Luton

Pedro (35')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Pearson (75'), Norrington-Davies (90+3')

Reaction

Watford's Joao Pedro celebrates scoring against Luton Town in the Championship on September 26, 2020

Vladimir Ivic lavishes praise on match-winner Joao Pedro

The Brazilian teenager's first goal for the club came on his birthday.

Sep 26, 15:46

The Match

Match Report

It was the first time the rivals had met since 2006.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Watford and Luton Town, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 48.29%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 26.47% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 2-0 (8.61%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 0-1 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Watford in this match.

Result
Watford	Draw	Luton Town
48.29%	25.23%	26.47%

Both teams to score 52.45%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.46%

50.54%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.54%

72.46%

Watford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.05%

20.95%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.31%

53.69%

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.34%

33.66%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.69%

70.31%

Score Analysis

Watford 48.29%

Luton Town 26.47%

Draw 25.23%

Watford	Draw	Luton Town
1-0 @ 11.02% 2-1 @ 9.38% 2-0 @ 8.61% 3-1 @ 4.89% 3-0 @ 4.49% 3-2 @ 2.66% 4-1 @ 1.91% 4-0 @ 1.75% 4-2 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.54% Total : 48.29%	1-1 @ 12% 0-0 @ 7.05% 2-2 @ 5.11% 3-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.23%	0-1 @ 7.68% 1-2 @ 6.53% 0-2 @ 4.18% 1-3 @ 2.37% 2-3 @ 1.85% 0-3 @ 1.52% Other @ 2.34% Total : 26.47%