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Championship | Gameweek 7
Oct 23, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
The City Ground
Derby logo

Nott'm Forest
1 - 1
Derby

Taylor (64')
Christie (18'), Arter (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Waghorn (30')

The Match

Match Report

Martyn Waghorn's brilliant first-half opener had given the Rams the upper hand.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Nottingham Forest and Derby County, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest win with a probability of 44.53%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 29.12% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Derby County win was 0-1 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.

Result
Nottingham ForestDrawDerby County
44.53%26.35%29.12%
Both teams to score 50.89%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.54%53.45%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.02%74.98%
Nottingham Forest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.1%23.89%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.9%58.1%
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.87%33.13%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.27%69.73%
Score Analysis
    Nottingham Forest 44.53%
    Derby County 29.12%
    Draw 26.34%
Nottingham ForestDrawDerby County
1-0 @ 11.33%
2-1 @ 8.96%
2-0 @ 8.11%
3-1 @ 4.28%
3-0 @ 3.87%
3-2 @ 2.36%
4-1 @ 1.53%
4-0 @ 1.39%
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 44.53%
1-1 @ 12.51%
0-0 @ 7.92%
2-2 @ 4.95%
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 26.34%
0-1 @ 8.75%
1-2 @ 6.92%
0-2 @ 4.83%
1-3 @ 2.55%
2-3 @ 1.82%
0-3 @ 1.78%
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 29.12%

Head to Head
Jul 4, 2020 12.30pm
Nov 9, 2019 12.30pm
Aug 27, 2019 7.45pm
Second Round
Nott'm Forest
3-0
Derby
Adomah (25'), Lolley (35'), Carvalho (79')

Buchanan (28'), Paterson (49'), Shinnie (79')
Feb 25, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 34
Nott'm Forest
1-0
Derby
Benalouane (2')
Yates (29'), Colback (82')

Wilson (26'), Holmes (29'), Tomori (95')
Dec 17, 2018 7.45pm
Gameweek 22
Derby
0-0
Nott'm Forest
Bryson (29'), Bogle (45'), Huddlestone (68')
Hefele (33'), Osborn (55'), Colback (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leicester CityLeicester443041086394794
2Leeds UnitedLeeds44279880374390
3Ipswich TownIpswich432611685533289
4Southampton442591085612484
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4420121267442372
6Norwich CityNorwich442191477611672
7Hull City431812136254866
8Coventry CityCoventry4217121366521463
9Middlesbrough44189176460463
10Preston North EndPreston44189175661-563
11Cardiff CityCardiff44195205061-1162
12Bristol City441611175147459
13Sunderland44168205251156
14Swansea CitySwansea441511185762-556
15Watford441217155958153
16Millwall441411194355-1253
17Stoke CityStoke441311204460-1650
18Queens Park RangersQPR441311204157-1650
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn441310215874-1649
20Plymouth ArgylePlymouth441212205869-1148
21Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds44138233968-2947
22Birmingham CityBirmingham441210224864-1646
23Huddersfield TownHuddersfield44917184774-2744
RRotherham UnitedRotherham44412283285-5324


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