Championship

Championship | Gameweek 7

Oct 23, 2020 at 7.45pm UK

The City Ground

Nott'm Forest
1 - 1
Derby

Taylor (64')
Christie (18'), Arter (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Waghorn (30')

Reaction

Derby County manager Phillip Cocu pictured on October 20, 2020

Derby manager Phillip Cocu claims linesman "stole our win" against Forest

Kamil Jozwiak had a goal ruled out in the second half.

Oct 23, 21:50

The Match

Match Report

Martyn Waghorn's brilliant first-half opener had given the Rams the upper hand.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Nottingham Forest and Derby County, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest win with a probability of 44.53%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 29.12% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Derby County win was 0-1 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.

Result
Nottingham Forest	Draw	Derby County
44.53%	26.35%	29.12%

Both teams to score 50.89%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.54%

53.45%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.02%

74.98%

Nottingham Forest Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.1%

23.89%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.9%

58.1%

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.87%

33.13%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.27%

69.73%

Score Analysis

Nottingham Forest 44.53%

Derby County 29.12%

Draw 26.34%

Nottingham Forest	Draw	Derby County
1-0 @ 11.33% 2-1 @ 8.96% 2-0 @ 8.11% 3-1 @ 4.28% 3-0 @ 3.87% 3-2 @ 2.36% 4-1 @ 1.53% 4-0 @ 1.39% Other @ 2.7% Total : 44.53%	1-1 @ 12.51% 0-0 @ 7.92% 2-2 @ 4.95% Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.34%	0-1 @ 8.75% 1-2 @ 6.92% 0-2 @ 4.83% 1-3 @ 2.55% 2-3 @ 1.82% 0-3 @ 1.78% Other @ 2.48% Total : 29.12%