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Championship | Gameweek 7
Oct 23, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
The City Ground
Derby logo

Nott'm Forest
1 - 1
Derby

Taylor (64')
Christie (18'), Arter (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Waghorn (30')

The Match

Match Report

Martyn Waghorn's brilliant first-half opener had given the Rams the upper hand.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Nottingham Forest and Derby County, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest win with a probability of 44.53%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 29.12% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Derby County win was 0-1 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.

Result
Nottingham ForestDrawDerby County
44.53%26.35%29.12%
Both teams to score 50.89%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.54%53.45%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.02%74.98%
Nottingham Forest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.1%23.89%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.9%58.1%
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.87%33.13%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.27%69.73%
Score Analysis
    Nottingham Forest 44.53%
    Derby County 29.12%
    Draw 26.34%
Nottingham ForestDrawDerby County
1-0 @ 11.33%
2-1 @ 8.96%
2-0 @ 8.11%
3-1 @ 4.28%
3-0 @ 3.87%
3-2 @ 2.36%
4-1 @ 1.53%
4-0 @ 1.39%
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 44.53%
1-1 @ 12.51%
0-0 @ 7.92%
2-2 @ 4.95%
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 26.34%
0-1 @ 8.75%
1-2 @ 6.92%
0-2 @ 4.83%
1-3 @ 2.55%
2-3 @ 1.82%
0-3 @ 1.78%
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 29.12%

Head to Head
Jul 4, 2020 12.30pm
Nov 9, 2019 12.30pm
Aug 27, 2019 7.45pm
Second Round
Nott'm Forest
3-0
Derby
Adomah (25'), Lolley (35'), Carvalho (79')

Buchanan (28'), Paterson (49'), Shinnie (79')
Feb 25, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 34
Nott'm Forest
1-0
Derby
Benalouane (2')
Yates (29'), Colback (82')

Wilson (26'), Holmes (29'), Tomori (95')
Dec 17, 2018 7.45pm
Gameweek 22
Derby
0-0
Nott'm Forest
Bryson (29'), Bogle (45'), Huddlestone (68')
Hefele (33'), Osborn (55'), Colback (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Rams
@
49ers
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd20135228111742
2Leeds UnitedLeeds20125336142241
3Burnley2010822471738
4Sunderland20107329151437
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn1910452317634
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2071122314932
7Middlesbrough209473425931
8Watford199462725231
9Swansea CitySwansea207672119227
10Norwich CityNorwich206863530526
11Bristol City206862525026
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds207582329-626
13Millwall196762017325
14Preston North EndPreston2041062026-622
15Luton TownLuton2064102335-1222
16Coventry CityCoventry205692529-421
17Derby CountyDerby205692226-421
18Stoke CityStoke205692126-521
19Queens Park RangersQPR204972026-621
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd194692030-1018
21Portsmouth183872130-917
22Cardiff CityCardiff1945101730-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth1945101940-2117
24Hull City2037101828-1016


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