EFL Cup

EFL Cup | Fourth Round

Oct 1, 2020 at 5.30pm UK

Brentford Community Stadium

Brentford
3 - 0
Fulham

Forss (37'), Benrahma (62', 77')
Fosu (47')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Kamara (12'), Johansen (49')

Reaction

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Oct 1, 20:11

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 45.41%. A win for Fulham had a probability of 28.83% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest Fulham win was 0-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brentford would win this match.

Result
Brentford	Draw	Fulham
45.41%	25.76%	28.83%

Both teams to score 52.53%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.74%

51.26%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.91%

73.09%

Brentford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.47%

22.53%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.89%

56.11%

Fulham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.8%

32.2%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.31%

68.69%

Score Analysis

Brentford 45.41%

Fulham 28.83%

Draw 25.76%

Brentford	Draw	Fulham
1-0 @ 10.81% 2-1 @ 9.13% 2-0 @ 8.06% 3-1 @ 4.54% 3-0 @ 4% 3-2 @ 2.57% 4-1 @ 1.69% 4-0 @ 1.49% 4-2 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.17% Total : 45.41%	1-1 @ 12.25% 0-0 @ 7.26% 2-2 @ 5.17% 3-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.76%	0-1 @ 8.22% 1-2 @ 6.94% 0-2 @ 4.66% 1-3 @ 2.62% 2-3 @ 1.95% 0-3 @ 1.76% Other @ 2.67% Total : 28.83%