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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 52.13%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Luton Town had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.32%) and 2-1 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.1%), while for a Luton Town win it was 0-1 (7.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rotherham United | Draw | Luton Town |
| 52.13% | 25.76% | 22.1% |
| Both teams to score 46.52% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.88% | 56.11% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.82% | 77.18% |
| Rotherham United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.42% | 21.58% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.33% | 54.67% |
| Luton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.32% | 40.67% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.73% | 77.26% |
| Score Analysis |
| Rotherham United | Draw | Luton Town |
| 1-0 @ 13.45% 2-0 @ 10.32% 2-1 @ 9.28% 3-0 @ 5.28% 3-1 @ 4.75% 3-2 @ 2.13% 4-0 @ 2.02% 4-1 @ 1.82% Other @ 3.08% Total : 52.13% | 1-1 @ 12.1% 0-0 @ 8.78% 2-2 @ 4.18% Other @ 0.7% Total : 25.75% | 0-1 @ 7.9% 1-2 @ 5.45% 0-2 @ 3.55% 1-3 @ 1.63% 2-3 @ 1.25% 0-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 1.26% Total : 22.1% |