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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 36.27%. A win for Rotherham United had a probability of 35.35% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.68%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Rotherham United win was 0-1 (11.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Stoke City in this match.
| Result | ||
| Stoke City | Draw | Rotherham United |
| 36.27% | 28.38% | 35.35% |
| Both teams to score 46.67% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.37% | 59.63% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.04% | 79.96% |
| Stoke City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.61% | 31.39% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.24% | 67.76% |
| Rotherham United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.02% | 31.98% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.56% | 68.44% |
| Score Analysis |
| Stoke City | Draw | Rotherham United |
| 1-0 @ 11.63% 2-1 @ 7.68% 2-0 @ 6.74% 3-1 @ 2.97% 3-0 @ 2.6% 3-2 @ 1.69% Other @ 2.96% Total : 36.27% | 1-1 @ 13.26% 0-0 @ 10.03% 2-2 @ 4.38% Other @ 0.7% Total : 28.37% | 0-1 @ 11.44% 1-2 @ 7.56% 0-2 @ 6.52% 1-3 @ 2.87% 0-3 @ 2.48% 2-3 @ 1.66% Other @ 2.81% Total : 35.35% |