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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 41.82%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 30.13% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.34%) and 0-2 (8.06%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 1-0 (10.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Luton Town | Draw | Birmingham City |
| 30.13% | 28.05% | 41.82% |
| Both teams to score 46.43% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.62% | 59.38% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.24% | 79.77% |
| Luton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.49% | 35.51% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.72% | 72.28% |
| Birmingham City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72% | 28% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.36% | 63.64% |
| Score Analysis |
| Luton Town | Draw | Birmingham City |
| 1-0 @ 10.29% 2-1 @ 6.78% 2-0 @ 5.33% 3-1 @ 2.34% 3-0 @ 1.84% 3-2 @ 1.49% Other @ 2.05% Total : 30.12% | 1-1 @ 13.1% 0-0 @ 9.94% 2-2 @ 4.32% Other @ 0.69% Total : 28.05% | 0-1 @ 12.65% 1-2 @ 8.34% 0-2 @ 8.06% 1-3 @ 3.54% 0-3 @ 3.42% 2-3 @ 1.83% 1-4 @ 1.13% 0-4 @ 1.09% Other @ 1.76% Total : 41.82% |