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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 38.37%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 34.59% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.25%) and 0-2 (6.84%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 1-0 (9.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Luton Town | Draw | Bristol City |
| 34.59% | 27.04% | 38.37% |
| Both teams to score 50.67% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.38% | 54.62% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.04% | 75.96% |
| Luton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.05% | 29.95% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.94% | 66.06% |
| Bristol City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.33% | 27.67% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.78% | 63.22% |
| Score Analysis |
| Luton Town | Draw | Bristol City |
| 1-0 @ 9.99% 2-1 @ 7.74% 2-0 @ 6.02% 3-1 @ 3.11% 3-0 @ 2.42% 3-2 @ 2% 4-1 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.37% Total : 34.59% | 1-1 @ 12.83% 0-0 @ 8.29% 2-2 @ 4.97% Other @ 0.94% Total : 27.03% | 0-1 @ 10.64% 1-2 @ 8.25% 0-2 @ 6.84% 1-3 @ 3.53% 0-3 @ 2.93% 2-3 @ 2.13% 1-4 @ 1.13% 0-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.97% Total : 38.36% |