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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 43.53%. A draw had a probability of 28.4% and a win for Luton Town had a probability of 28.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.67%) and 2-1 (8.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.1%), while for a Luton Town win it was 0-1 (10.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Reading would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Reading | Draw | Luton Town |
| 43.53% | 28.4% | 28.07% |
| Both teams to score 44.51% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.69% | 61.31% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.77% | 81.22% |
| Reading Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.01% | 27.99% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.36% | 63.63% |
| Luton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.81% | 38.19% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.05% | 74.95% |
| Score Analysis |
| Reading | Draw | Luton Town |
| 1-0 @ 13.61% 2-0 @ 8.67% 2-1 @ 8.34% 3-0 @ 3.68% 3-1 @ 3.54% 3-2 @ 1.7% 4-0 @ 1.17% 4-1 @ 1.13% Other @ 1.69% Total : 43.53% | 1-1 @ 13.1% 0-0 @ 10.68% 2-2 @ 4.02% Other @ 0.59% Total : 28.39% | 0-1 @ 10.29% 1-2 @ 6.31% 0-2 @ 4.95% 1-3 @ 2.02% 0-3 @ 1.59% 2-3 @ 1.29% Other @ 1.62% Total : 28.07% |