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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 44.72%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 27.78% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.68%) and 2-1 (8.68%). The likeliest Derby County win was 0-1 (9.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Barnsley | Draw | Derby County |
| 44.72% | 27.49% | 27.78% |
| Both teams to score 46.77% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.64% | 58.36% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.02% | 78.97% |
| Barnsley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74% | 25.99% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.98% | 61.01% |
| Derby County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.2% | 36.8% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.41% | 73.58% |
| Score Analysis |
| Barnsley | Draw | Derby County |
| 1-0 @ 12.88% 2-0 @ 8.68% 2-1 @ 8.68% 3-0 @ 3.9% 3-1 @ 3.9% 3-2 @ 1.95% 4-1 @ 1.31% 4-0 @ 1.31% Other @ 2.1% Total : 44.71% | 1-1 @ 12.88% 0-0 @ 9.57% 2-2 @ 4.34% Other @ 0.71% Total : 27.49% | 0-1 @ 9.56% 1-2 @ 6.44% 0-2 @ 4.78% 1-3 @ 2.15% 0-3 @ 1.59% 2-3 @ 1.45% Other @ 1.82% Total : 27.78% |