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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 38.1%. A win for Reading had a probability of 33.45% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.88%) and 0-2 (7.2%). The likeliest Reading win was 1-0 (11.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Reading | Draw | Swansea City |
| 33.45% | 28.45% | 38.1% |
| Both teams to score 46.27% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.95% | 60.05% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.73% | 80.27% |
| Reading Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.54% | 33.46% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.91% | 70.09% |
| Swansea City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.53% | 30.47% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.32% | 66.68% |
| Score Analysis |
| Reading | Draw | Swansea City |
| 1-0 @ 11.16% 2-1 @ 7.26% 2-0 @ 6.11% 3-1 @ 2.65% 3-0 @ 2.23% 3-2 @ 1.58% Other @ 2.47% Total : 33.45% | 1-1 @ 13.26% 0-0 @ 10.19% 2-2 @ 4.32% Other @ 0.68% Total : 28.44% | 0-1 @ 12.11% 1-2 @ 7.88% 0-2 @ 7.2% 1-3 @ 3.12% 0-3 @ 2.85% 2-3 @ 1.71% 1-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.28% Total : 38.09% |