/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fpnelog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fderlog.png)
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Ben Whiteman
18'
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Ched Evans
73'
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Ryan Ledson
87'
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Nathan Byrne
86'
Preston North End vs Derby County - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
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The match
Result
Match Preview
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 39.4%. A win for Preston North End had a probability of 32.71% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.17%) and 0-2 (7.36%). The likeliest Preston North End win was 1-0 (10.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
Result
Preston North End
32.71%
Draw
27.88%
Derby County
39.4%
Both Teams to Score:
47.75%
Goals
Over 2.5
41.87%
Under 2.5
58.13%
Over 3.5
21.21%
Under 3.5
78.79%
Preston North End Goals
Over 0.5
67.03%
Under 0.5
32.97%
Over 1.5
30.44%
Under 1.5
69.56%
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5
71.25%
Under 0.5
28.75%
Over 1.5
35.4%
Under 1.5
64.59%
Score analysis
Preston North End
32.7%
Draw
27.88%
Derby County
39.4%
Preston North End
1-0
@
10.51%
2-1 @ 7.27%
2-0 @ 5.84%
3-1 @ 2.69%
3-0 @ 2.16%
3-2 @ 1.68%
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 32.7%
2-1 @ 7.27%
2-0 @ 5.84%
3-1 @ 2.69%
3-0 @ 2.16%
3-2 @ 1.68%
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 32.7%
Draw
1-1
@
13.11%
0-0 @ 9.48%
2-2 @ 4.53%
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 27.88%
0-0 @ 9.48%
2-2 @ 4.53%
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 27.88%
Derby County
0-1
@
11.81%
1-2 @ 8.17%
0-2 @ 7.36%
1-3 @ 3.4%
0-3 @ 3.06%
2-3 @ 1.88%
1-4 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 39.4%
1-2 @ 8.17%
0-2 @ 7.36%
1-3 @ 3.4%
0-3 @ 3.06%
2-3 @ 1.88%
1-4 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 39.4%
