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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Preston North End win with a probability of 40.45%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 30.96% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Preston North End win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.08%) and 2-0 (7.85%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 0-1 (10.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Preston North End | Draw | Luton Town |
| 40.45% | 28.59% | 30.96% |
| Both teams to score 45.27% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39% | 60.99% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.01% | 80.98% |
| Preston North End Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.45% | 29.54% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.43% | 65.57% |
| Luton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.25% | 35.75% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.48% | 72.52% |
| Score Analysis |
| Preston North End | Draw | Luton Town |
| 1-0 @ 12.87% 2-1 @ 8.08% 2-0 @ 7.85% 3-1 @ 3.28% 3-0 @ 3.19% 3-2 @ 1.69% 4-1 @ 1% 4-0 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.51% Total : 40.44% | 1-1 @ 13.24% 0-0 @ 10.56% 2-2 @ 4.15% Other @ 0.63% Total : 28.58% | 0-1 @ 10.86% 1-2 @ 6.81% 0-2 @ 5.59% 1-3 @ 2.34% 0-3 @ 1.92% 2-3 @ 1.42% Other @ 2.02% Total : 30.95% |