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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest win with a probability of 43.01%. A draw had a probability of 29% and a win for Luton Town had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.7%) and 2-1 (8.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.19%), while for a Luton Town win it was 0-1 (10.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Nottingham Forest | Draw | Luton Town |
| 43.01% | 28.98% | 28% |
| Both teams to score 42.97% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.78% | 63.21% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.38% | 82.62% |
| Nottingham Forest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.8% | 29.2% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.86% | 65.14% |
| Luton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.69% | 39.31% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.99% | 76.01% |
| Score Analysis |
| Nottingham Forest | Draw | Luton Town |
| 1-0 @ 14.12% 2-0 @ 8.7% 2-1 @ 8.12% 3-0 @ 3.57% 3-1 @ 3.33% 3-2 @ 1.56% 4-0 @ 1.1% 4-1 @ 1.03% Other @ 1.48% Total : 43% | 1-1 @ 13.19% 0-0 @ 11.47% 2-2 @ 3.79% Other @ 0.52% Total : 28.97% | 0-1 @ 10.71% 1-2 @ 6.16% 0-2 @ 5% 1-3 @ 1.92% 0-3 @ 1.56% 2-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 1.47% Total : 28% |