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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 43.82%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 28.26% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.58%) and 1-2 (8.51%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 1-0 (9.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Luton Town | Draw | Millwall |
| 28.26% | 27.92% | 43.82% |
| Both teams to score 45.89% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.37% | 59.62% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.05% | 79.95% |
| Luton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.89% | 37.11% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.1% | 73.89% |
| Millwall Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.96% | 27.04% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.6% | 62.4% |
| Score Analysis |
| Luton Town | Draw | Millwall |
| 1-0 @ 9.95% 2-1 @ 6.45% 2-0 @ 4.93% 3-1 @ 2.13% 3-0 @ 1.63% 3-2 @ 1.39% Other @ 1.78% Total : 28.26% | 1-1 @ 13% 0-0 @ 10.03% 2-2 @ 4.22% Other @ 0.66% Total : 27.91% | 0-1 @ 13.12% 0-2 @ 8.58% 1-2 @ 8.51% 0-3 @ 3.74% 1-3 @ 3.71% 2-3 @ 1.84% 0-4 @ 1.22% 1-4 @ 1.21% Other @ 1.89% Total : 43.82% |