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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 39.17%. A win for Sheffield Wednesday had a probability of 32.89% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.14%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Sheffield Wednesday win was 0-1 (10.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Luton Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Luton Town | Draw | Sheffield Wednesday |
| 39.17% | 27.93% | 32.89% |
| Both teams to score 47.65% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.72% | 58.27% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.09% | 78.9% |
| Luton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.04% | 28.95% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.15% | 64.84% |
| Sheffield Wednesday Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.07% | 32.92% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.5% | 69.5% |
| Score Analysis |
| Luton Town | Draw | Sheffield Wednesday |
| 1-0 @ 11.81% 2-1 @ 8.14% 2-0 @ 7.32% 3-1 @ 3.36% 3-0 @ 3.03% 3-2 @ 1.87% 4-1 @ 1.04% 4-0 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.67% Total : 39.17% | 1-1 @ 13.12% 0-0 @ 9.53% 2-2 @ 4.52% Other @ 0.75% Total : 27.93% | 0-1 @ 10.59% 1-2 @ 7.29% 0-2 @ 5.88% 1-3 @ 2.7% 0-3 @ 2.18% 2-3 @ 1.67% Other @ 2.57% Total : 32.89% |