Championship

Championship | Gameweek 42

Apr 16, 2021 at 6pm UK

Ewood Park

Blackburn
2 - 1
Derby

Gallagher (42'), Elliott (66')
Holtby (32'), Elliott (67')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Lawrence (22')
Clarke (45+1')

Reaction

Derby County's manager Wayne Rooney before the match on March 6, 2021

Wayne Rooney hits out at "unacceptable" refereeing in Blackburn loss

Wayne Rooney felt referee Stephen Martin missed a "clear" penalty.

Apr 16, 21:01

The Match

Match Report

The Rams remain fourth from bottom, four points above Rotherham who have three games in hand.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Blackburn Rovers and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 44.13%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 28.23% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.61%) and 2-0 (8.56%). The likeliest Derby County win was 0-1 (9.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Blackburn Rovers would win this match.

Result
Blackburn Rovers	Draw	Derby County
44.13%	27.63%	28.23%

Both teams to score 46.65%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.36%

58.64%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.81%

79.19%

Blackburn Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.58%

26.42%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.41%

61.58%

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.4%

36.59%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.62%

73.38%

Score Analysis

Blackburn Rovers 44.13%

Derby County 28.23%

Draw 27.63%

Blackburn Rovers	Draw	Derby County
1-0 @ 12.86% 2-1 @ 8.61% 2-0 @ 8.56% 3-1 @ 3.82% 3-0 @ 3.8% 3-2 @ 1.92% 4-1 @ 1.27% 4-0 @ 1.27% Other @ 2.02% Total : 44.13%	1-1 @ 12.93% 0-0 @ 9.67% 2-2 @ 4.33% Other @ 0.7% Total : 27.63%	0-1 @ 9.72% 1-2 @ 6.5% 0-2 @ 4.89% 1-3 @ 2.18% 0-3 @ 1.64% 2-3 @ 1.45% Other @ 1.86% Total : 28.23%

How you voted: Blackburn vs Derby

Blackburn Rovers

57.0%

Draw

17.7%

Derby County

25.3%