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Championship | Gameweek 42
Apr 16, 2021 at 6pm UK
Ewood Park
Derby logo

Blackburn
2 - 1
Derby

Gallagher (42'), Elliott (66')
Holtby (32'), Elliott (67')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Lawrence (22')
Clarke (45+1')

The Match

Match Report

The Rams remain fourth from bottom, four points above Rotherham who have three games in hand.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Blackburn Rovers and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 44.13%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 28.23% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.61%) and 2-0 (8.56%). The likeliest Derby County win was 0-1 (9.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Blackburn Rovers would win this match.

Result
Blackburn RoversDrawDerby County
44.13%27.63%28.23%
Both teams to score 46.65%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.36%58.64%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.81%79.19%
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.58%26.42%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.41%61.58%
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.4%36.59%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.62%73.38%
Score Analysis
    Blackburn Rovers 44.13%
    Derby County 28.23%
    Draw 27.63%
Blackburn RoversDrawDerby County
1-0 @ 12.86%
2-1 @ 8.61%
2-0 @ 8.56%
3-1 @ 3.82%
3-0 @ 3.8%
3-2 @ 1.92%
4-1 @ 1.27%
4-0 @ 1.27%
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 44.13%
1-1 @ 12.93%
0-0 @ 9.67%
2-2 @ 4.33%
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 27.63%
0-1 @ 9.72%
1-2 @ 6.5%
0-2 @ 4.89%
1-3 @ 2.18%
0-3 @ 1.64%
2-3 @ 1.45%
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 28.23%

How you voted: Blackburn vs Derby

Blackburn Rovers
57.0%
Draw
17.7%
Derby County
25.3%
79
Head to Head
Sep 26, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 3
Derby
0-4
Blackburn

Buchanan (33'), Rooney (80')
Dolan (11'), Johnson (12', 15'), Armstrong (78')
Johnson (36'), Lenihan (42'), Rothwell (66')
Mar 8, 2020 3pm
Dec 7, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 20
Blackburn
1-0
Derby
Armstrong (57')
Evans (62')

Lawrence (18')
Apr 9, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 41
Blackburn
2-0
Derby
Rothwell (76'), Dack (92')
Bennett (51'), Travis (85')
Sep 18, 2018 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Derby
0-0
Blackburn
Bogle (76'), Waghorn (90')
Williams (46'), Palmer (49'), Lenihan (90')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd21145230111945
2Leeds UnitedLeeds21126337152242
3Sunderland21117332171540
4Burnley2010822471738
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2011452517837
6Middlesbrough21104735251034
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2071122314932
8Watford199462725231
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds218582630-429
10Swansea CitySwansea217682322127
11Bristol City216962626027
12Norwich CityNorwich206863530526
13Millwall206772018225
14Derby CountyDerby216692626024
15Coventry CityCoventry216692730-324
16Preston North EndPreston2141162127-623
17Stoke CityStoke215792328-522
18Queens Park RangersQPR2141072127-622
19Luton TownLuton2164112337-1422
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2046102133-1218
21Cardiff CityCardiff2046101932-1318
22Portsmouth193882134-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2045111942-2317
24Hull City2137111930-1116


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