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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 41.39%. A win for Sheffield Wednesday had a probability of 30.75% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Sheffield Wednesday win was 0-1 (10.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Derby County | Draw | Sheffield Wednesday |
| 41.39% | 27.86% | 30.75% |
| Both teams to score 47.22% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.49% | 58.52% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.91% | 79.09% |
| Derby County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.18% | 27.83% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.58% | 63.42% |
| Sheffield Wednesday Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.42% | 34.58% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.7% | 71.3% |
| Score Analysis |
| Derby County | Draw | Sheffield Wednesday |
| 1-0 @ 12.3% 2-1 @ 8.36% 2-0 @ 7.87% 3-1 @ 3.57% 3-0 @ 3.36% 3-2 @ 1.89% 4-1 @ 1.14% 4-0 @ 1.07% Other @ 1.82% Total : 41.38% | 1-1 @ 13.07% 0-0 @ 9.62% 2-2 @ 4.44% Other @ 0.73% Total : 27.86% | 0-1 @ 10.21% 1-2 @ 6.94% 0-2 @ 5.43% 1-3 @ 2.46% 0-3 @ 1.92% 2-3 @ 1.57% Other @ 2.22% Total : 30.75% |