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Championship | Gameweek 6
Sep 10, 2021 at 8pm UK
St Andrew's
Derby logo

Birmingham
2 - 0
Derby

Hogan (31'), Bela (81')
Sunjic (57'), Roberts (76')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Shinnie (24'), Morrison (76'), Lawrence (76')

The Match

Match Report

Scott Hogan and Jeremie Bela scored Birmingham's goals.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Birmingham City and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 40.39%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 30.4% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8%) and 1-2 (7.88%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-0 (11.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawDerby County
30.4%29.21%40.39%
Both teams to score 43.42%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.82%63.18%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.4%82.6%
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.63%37.36%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.85%74.15%
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.32%30.67%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.07%66.92%
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 30.4%
    Derby County 40.38%
    Draw 29.21%
Birmingham CityDrawDerby County
1-0 @ 11.28%
2-1 @ 6.56%
2-0 @ 5.55%
3-1 @ 2.15%
3-0 @ 1.82%
3-2 @ 1.27%
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 30.4%
1-1 @ 13.33%
0-0 @ 11.46%
2-2 @ 3.88%
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 29.21%
0-1 @ 13.54%
0-2 @ 8%
1-2 @ 7.88%
0-3 @ 3.15%
1-3 @ 3.1%
2-3 @ 1.53%
0-4 @ 0.93%
1-4 @ 0.92%
Other @ 1.33%
Total : 40.38%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Derby

Birmingham City
55.1%
Draw
29.7%
Derby County
15.2%
158
Head to Head
Apr 24, 2021 3pm
Dec 29, 2020 5.30pm
Gameweek 22
Birmingham
0-4
Derby
Bielik (15'), Shinnie (17' pen.), Kazim-Richards (26'), Knight (77')
Sibley (67')
Jul 22, 2020 7.30pm
Gameweek 46
Birmingham
1-3
Derby
Sunjic (56')
(90+4')
Shinnie (6'), Whittaker (87'), Sibley (90+1')
Sep 28, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 9
Derby
3-2
Birmingham
Martin (2'), Waghorn (50'), Paterson (74')
Holmes (44'), Bielik (45'), Malone (92')
Gardner (56'), Sunjic (59')
Alvaro (22')
Apr 19, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 43
Birmingham
2-2
Derby
Jutkiewicz (2'), Morrison (18')
Gardner (38'), Jutkiewicz (56'), Adams (92')
Waghorn (7'), Keogh (28')
Bryson (45'), Waghorn (48'), Cole (66')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leicester CityLeicester443041086394794
2Leeds UnitedLeeds44279880374390
3Ipswich TownIpswich432611685533289
4Southampton442591085612484
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4420121267442372
6Norwich CityNorwich442191477611672
7Hull City431812136254866
8Coventry CityCoventry4217121366521463
9Middlesbrough44189176460463
10Preston North EndPreston44189175661-563
11Cardiff CityCardiff44195205061-1162
12Bristol City441611175147459
13Sunderland44168205251156
14Swansea CitySwansea441511185762-556
15Watford441217155958153
16Millwall441411194355-1253
17Stoke CityStoke441311204460-1650
18Queens Park RangersQPR441311204157-1650
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn441310215874-1649
20Plymouth ArgylePlymouth441212205869-1148
21Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds44138233968-2947
22Birmingham CityBirmingham441210224864-1646
23Huddersfield TownHuddersfield44917184774-2744
RRotherham UnitedRotherham44412283285-5324


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