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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheffield United win with a probability of 44.97%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Derby County had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sheffield United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.04%) and 2-1 (8.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13%), while for a Derby County win it was 0-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sheffield United in this match.
| Result | ||
| Sheffield United | Draw | Derby County |
| 44.97% | 28.23% | 26.8% |
| Both teams to score 44.2% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.68% | 61.32% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.77% | 81.23% |
| Sheffield United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.76% | 27.24% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.34% | 62.66% |
| Derby County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.74% | 39.26% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.03% | 75.96% |
| Score Analysis |
| Sheffield United | Draw | Derby County |
| 1-0 @ 13.9% 2-0 @ 9.04% 2-1 @ 8.46% 3-0 @ 3.92% 3-1 @ 3.67% 3-2 @ 1.71% 4-0 @ 1.28% 4-1 @ 1.19% Other @ 1.79% Total : 44.96% | 1-1 @ 13% 0-0 @ 10.69% 2-2 @ 3.95% Other @ 0.58% Total : 28.22% | 0-1 @ 10% 1-2 @ 6.08% 0-2 @ 4.67% 1-3 @ 1.9% 0-3 @ 1.46% 2-3 @ 1.23% Other @ 1.47% Total : 26.8% |