Millwall

2 - 1

Stoke

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 35.89%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 35.73% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.63%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (11.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Millwall would win this match.