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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 34.98%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 33.76% and a draw had a probability of 31.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.93%) and 1-2 (6.69%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 1-0 (13.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (14.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Swansea City | Draw | Cardiff City |
| 33.76% | 31.26% | 34.98% |
| Both teams to score 38.93% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 31.15% | 68.85% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 13.51% | 86.49% |
| Swansea City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.96% | 38.04% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.19% | 74.8% |
| Cardiff City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.83% | 37.17% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.05% | 73.95% |
| Score Analysis |
| Swansea City | Draw | Cardiff City |
| 1-0 @ 13.66% 2-0 @ 6.6% 2-1 @ 6.54% 3-0 @ 2.13% 3-1 @ 2.11% 3-2 @ 1.04% Other @ 1.67% Total : 33.75% | 0-0 @ 14.13% 1-1 @ 13.52% 2-2 @ 3.24% Other @ 0.37% Total : 31.25% | 0-1 @ 13.99% 0-2 @ 6.93% 1-2 @ 6.69% 0-3 @ 2.29% 1-3 @ 2.21% 2-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 1.81% Total : 34.98% |