/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fderlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fswalog.png)
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Craig Forsyth
45'
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Dylan Willis
82'
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Nathan Byrne
89'
Derby County vs Swansea City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 36.59%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 35.9% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.93%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 0-1 (10.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.
Result
Derby County
36.59%
Draw
27.51%
Swansea City
35.9%
Both Teams to Score:
49.31%
Goals
Over 2.5
43.62%
Under 2.5
56.38%
Over 3.5
22.6%
Under 3.5
77.39%
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5
70.43%
Under 0.5
29.56%
Over 1.5
34.41%
Under 1.5
65.59%
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5
70.01%
Under 0.5
29.99%
Over 1.5
33.89%
Under 1.5
66.11%
Score analysis
Derby County
36.59%
Draw
27.5%
Swansea City
35.89%
Derby County
1-0
@
10.8%
2-1 @ 7.93%
2-0 @ 6.58%
3-1 @ 3.22%
3-0 @ 2.67%
3-2 @ 1.94%
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 36.59%
2-1 @ 7.93%
2-0 @ 6.58%
3-1 @ 3.22%
3-0 @ 2.67%
3-2 @ 1.94%
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 36.59%
Draw
1-1
@
13.01%
0-0 @ 8.87%
2-2 @ 4.77%
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 27.5%
0-0 @ 8.87%
2-2 @ 4.77%
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 27.5%
Swansea City
0-1
@
10.67%
1-2 @ 7.84%
0-2 @ 6.43%
1-3 @ 3.15%
0-3 @ 2.58%
2-3 @ 1.92%
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 35.89%
1-2 @ 7.84%
0-2 @ 6.43%
1-3 @ 3.15%
0-3 @ 2.58%
2-3 @ 1.92%
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 35.89%
