Championship

Championship | Gameweek 10

Sep 29, 2021 at 7.45pm UK

Pride Park

Derby
1 - 0
Reading

Forsyth (33')
Stearman (16'), Byrne (59'), Shinnie (74'), Lawrence (90+1')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Derby County and Reading, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 41.64%. A win for Reading had a probability of 30.18% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.29%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest Reading win was 0-1 (10.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Derby County in this match.

Result
Derby County	Draw	Reading
41.64%	28.18%	30.18%

Both teams to score 46.11%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.2%

59.8%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.91%

80.09%

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.7%

28.3%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.98%

64.02%

Reading Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.31%

35.69%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.53%

72.47%

Score Analysis

Derby County 41.64%

Reading 30.18%

Draw 28.17%

Derby County	Draw	Reading
1-0 @ 12.75% 2-1 @ 8.29% 2-0 @ 8.05% 3-1 @ 3.49% 3-0 @ 3.39% 3-2 @ 1.8% 4-1 @ 1.1% 4-0 @ 1.07% Other @ 1.71% Total : 41.64%	1-1 @ 13.13% 0-0 @ 10.1% 2-2 @ 4.27% Other @ 0.67% Total : 28.17%	0-1 @ 10.4% 1-2 @ 6.77% 0-2 @ 5.36% 1-3 @ 2.32% 0-3 @ 1.84% 2-3 @ 1.47% Other @ 2.02% Total : 30.18%

How you voted: Derby vs Reading

Derby County

24.7%

Draw

17.2%

Reading

58.1%