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EFL Cup

Brighton logo
EFL Cup | Third Round
Sep 22, 2021 at 7.30pm UK
The American Express Community Stadium
Swansea logo

Brighton
2 - 0
Swansea

Connolly (33', 38')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Williams (45'), Downes (73'), Cooper (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's EFL Cup clash between Brighton & Hove Albion and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 47.07%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 26.62% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (8.85%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 0-1 (8.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.

Result
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawSwansea City
47.07%26.3%26.62%
Both teams to score 49.34%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.35%54.65%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.01%75.98%
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.79%23.21%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.89%57.1%
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.25%35.74%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.48%72.51%
Score Analysis
    Brighton & Hove Albion 47.07%
    Swansea City 26.62%
    Draw 26.3%
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawSwansea City
1-0 @ 12.11%
2-1 @ 9.11%
2-0 @ 8.85%
3-1 @ 4.43%
3-0 @ 4.31%
3-2 @ 2.28%
4-1 @ 1.62%
4-0 @ 1.57%
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 47.07%
1-1 @ 12.46%
0-0 @ 8.29%
2-2 @ 4.68%
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 26.3%
0-1 @ 8.53%
1-2 @ 6.41%
0-2 @ 4.39%
1-3 @ 2.2%
2-3 @ 1.61%
0-3 @ 1.51%
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 26.62%

How you voted: Brighton vs Swansea

Brighton & Hove Albion
77.9%
Draw
12.1%
Swansea City
10.0%
140