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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 42.51%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 29.9% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.52%) and 0-2 (8.08%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 1-0 (9.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Luton Town | Draw | Swansea City |
| 29.9% | 27.59% | 42.51% |
| Both teams to score 47.64% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.19% | 57.81% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.46% | 78.54% |
| Luton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.16% | 34.84% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.42% | 71.57% |
| Swansea City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.11% | 26.88% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.79% | 62.2% |
| Score Analysis |
| Luton Town | Draw | Swansea City |
| 1-0 @ 9.88% 2-1 @ 6.84% 2-0 @ 5.21% 3-1 @ 2.4% 3-0 @ 1.83% 3-2 @ 1.58% Other @ 2.17% Total : 29.9% | 1-1 @ 12.97% 0-0 @ 9.37% 2-2 @ 4.49% Other @ 0.75% Total : 27.58% | 0-1 @ 12.3% 1-2 @ 8.52% 0-2 @ 8.08% 1-3 @ 3.73% 0-3 @ 3.54% 2-3 @ 1.97% 1-4 @ 1.23% 0-4 @ 1.16% Other @ 1.98% Total : 42.5% |