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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 44.19%. A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 27.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.97%) and 2-1 (8.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.1%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 0-1 (10.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Luton Town | Draw | Birmingham City |
| 44.19% | 28.7% | 27.11% |
| Both teams to score 43.18% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.3% | 62.7% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.75% | 82.25% |
| Luton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.69% | 28.31% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.97% | 64.03% |
| Birmingham City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.22% | 39.78% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.55% | 76.45% |
| Score Analysis |
| Luton Town | Draw | Birmingham City |
| 1-0 @ 14.21% 2-0 @ 8.97% 2-1 @ 8.27% 3-0 @ 3.77% 3-1 @ 3.48% 3-2 @ 1.6% 4-0 @ 1.19% 4-1 @ 1.1% Other @ 1.61% Total : 44.19% | 1-1 @ 13.1% 0-0 @ 11.26% 2-2 @ 3.81% Other @ 0.53% Total : 28.7% | 0-1 @ 10.38% 1-2 @ 6.04% 0-2 @ 4.78% 1-3 @ 1.86% 0-3 @ 1.47% 2-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 1.41% Total : 27.11% |