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EFL Cup | First Round
Aug 10, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
St Andrew's
Colchester United

Birmingham
1 - 0
Colchester

Oakley (75')
FT(HT: 0-0)

(77'), Sarpong-Wiredu (90')

The Match

Match Report

Oakley's deflected shot in the 76th minute finally saw off the League Two side.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Birmingham City and Colchester United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 39.11%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 32.12% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.9%) and 0-2 (7.54%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-0 (11.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawColchester United
32.12%28.77%39.11%
Both teams to score 45.1%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.64%61.36%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.74%81.26%
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.91%35.09%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.16%71.84%
Colchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.48%30.51%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.26%66.73%
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 32.12%
    Colchester United 39.11%
    Draw 28.76%
Birmingham CityDrawColchester United
1-0 @ 11.21%
2-1 @ 6.97%
2-0 @ 5.87%
3-1 @ 2.43%
3-0 @ 2.05%
3-2 @ 1.44%
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 32.12%
1-1 @ 13.31%
0-0 @ 10.7%
2-2 @ 4.14%
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 28.76%
0-1 @ 12.71%
1-2 @ 7.9%
0-2 @ 7.54%
1-3 @ 3.13%
0-3 @ 2.99%
2-3 @ 1.64%
1-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 39.11%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Colchester

Birmingham City
62.2%
Draw
16.2%
Colchester United
21.6%
37