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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 40.59%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 30.72% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.06%) and 0-2 (7.92%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-0 (10.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cardiff City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Birmingham City | Draw | Cardiff City |
| 30.72% | 28.69% | 40.59% |
| Both teams to score 44.91% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.6% | 61.39% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.71% | 81.29% |
| Birmingham City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.85% | 36.15% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.07% | 72.93% |
| Cardiff City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.33% | 29.66% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.29% | 65.71% |
| Score Analysis |
| Birmingham City | Draw | Cardiff City |
| 1-0 @ 10.91% 2-1 @ 6.75% 2-0 @ 5.55% 3-1 @ 2.29% 3-0 @ 1.88% 3-2 @ 1.39% Other @ 1.95% Total : 30.72% | 1-1 @ 13.26% 0-0 @ 10.72% 2-2 @ 4.1% Other @ 0.61% Total : 28.69% | 0-1 @ 13.03% 1-2 @ 8.06% 0-2 @ 7.92% 1-3 @ 3.26% 0-3 @ 3.21% 2-3 @ 1.66% 1-4 @ 0.99% 0-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.49% Total : 40.59% |