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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 37.72%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 34.9% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.1%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 1-0 (10.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Luton Town | Draw | Peterborough United |
| 34.9% | 27.39% | 37.72% |
| Both teams to score 49.61% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.03% | 55.97% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.94% | 77.06% |
| Luton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.58% | 30.42% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.38% | 66.63% |
| Peterborough United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.31% | 28.69% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.48% | 64.52% |
| Score Analysis |
| Luton Town | Draw | Peterborough United |
| 1-0 @ 10.38% 2-1 @ 7.72% 2-0 @ 6.18% 3-1 @ 3.06% 3-0 @ 2.45% 3-2 @ 1.91% 4-1 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.28% Total : 34.89% | 1-1 @ 12.96% 0-0 @ 8.73% 2-2 @ 4.82% Other @ 0.87% Total : 27.38% | 0-1 @ 10.89% 1-2 @ 8.1% 0-2 @ 6.8% 1-3 @ 3.37% 0-3 @ 2.83% 2-3 @ 2.01% 1-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.66% Total : 37.71% |