Championship

Championship | Gameweek 44

Apr 25, 2021 at 1pm UK

Ashton Gate Stadium

Bristol City
2 - 3
Luton

Wells (31'), Nagy (38')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Collins (59'), Adebayo (68'), Cornick (74')

Reaction

Luton Town manager Nathan Jones pictured in December 2020

Nathan Jones: 'Change in mentality helped us against Bristol City'

Bristol City led 2-0 at halftime but James Collins, Elijah Adebayo and Harry Cornick struck after the break to secure an unlikely win.

Apr 25, 16:03

The Match

Match Report

City led 2-0 at half-time but the Hatters fought back with goals from James Collins, Elijah Adebayo and Cornick.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Championship clash between Bristol City and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 40.9%. A draw had a probability of 30.3% and a win for Bristol City had a probability of 28.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.4%) and 1-2 (7.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.35%), while for a Bristol City win it was 1-0 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Luton Town would win this match.

Result
Bristol City	Draw	Luton Town
28.84%	30.26%	40.9%

Both teams to score 40.24%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

33.23%

66.77%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

14.89%

85.11%

Bristol City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.36%

40.64%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.77%

77.23%

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.78%

32.22%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.29%

68.71%

Score Analysis

Bristol City 28.83%

Luton Town 40.89%

Draw 30.26%

Bristol City	Draw	Luton Town
1-0 @ 11.78% 2-1 @ 6.01% 2-0 @ 5.31% 3-1 @ 1.81% 3-0 @ 1.59% 3-2 @ 1.02% Other @ 1.31% Total : 28.83%	1-1 @ 13.35% 0-0 @ 13.09% 2-2 @ 3.41% Other @ 0.41% Total : 30.26%	0-1 @ 14.82% 0-2 @ 8.4% 1-2 @ 7.56% 0-3 @ 3.17% 1-3 @ 2.86% 2-3 @ 1.29% Other @ 2.79% Total : 40.89%

How you voted: Bristol City vs Luton

Bristol City

18.2%

Draw

21.8%

Luton Town

60.0%