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Luton Town
Championship | Gameweek 42
Apr 17, 2021 at 12.30pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
Watford logo

Luton
1 - 0
Watford

Collins (78' pen.)
Bradley (28'), Berry (80')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Femenia (72'), Troost-Ekong (75'), Sierralta (76')
Femenia (88')

The Match

Match Report

The Hatters, who were the better side for long periods, were awarded a penalty with 18 minutes to go.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Luton Town and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 57.29%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Luton Town had a probability of 18.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.4%) and 1-2 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.37%), while for a Luton Town win it was 1-0 (6.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result
Luton TownDrawWatford
18.55%24.16%57.29%
Both teams to score 45.95%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.79%54.2%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.39%75.6%
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.57%43.43%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.35%79.65%
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.23%18.77%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.83%50.17%
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 18.55%
    Watford 57.27%
    Draw 24.16%
Luton TownDrawWatford
1-0 @ 6.8%
2-1 @ 4.74%
2-0 @ 2.84%
3-1 @ 1.32%
3-2 @ 1.1%
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 18.55%
1-1 @ 11.37%
0-0 @ 8.15%
2-2 @ 3.97%
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 24.16%
0-1 @ 13.63%
0-2 @ 11.4%
1-2 @ 9.51%
0-3 @ 6.36%
1-3 @ 5.31%
0-4 @ 2.66%
1-4 @ 2.22%
2-3 @ 2.21%
2-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 57.27%

How you voted: Luton vs Watford

Luton Town
13.4%
Draw
16.4%
Watford
70.1%
67
rhs 2.0


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