Championship

Championship | Gameweek 36

Mar 13, 2021 at 3pm UK

Cardiff City Stadium

Cardiff
1 - 2
Watford

Sierralta (14' og.)
Bacuna (81'), Ng (90+2')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Chalobah (15'), Masina (90+3')
Bachmann (39'), Hughes (45+1'), Sarr (82'), Sierralta (85')

Reaction

Watford manager Xisco Munoz pictured in February 2021

Xisco Munoz insists Watford must have "humility" after Cardiff win

Adam Masina struck at the death to move the Hornets into second place.

Mar 13, 19:45

The Match

Match Report

The Hornets moved above Swansea on goal difference.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Cardiff City and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 38.21%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 34.28% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.13%) and 0-2 (6.96%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 1-0 (10.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Watford would win this match.

Result
Cardiff City	Draw	Watford
34.28%	27.51%	38.21%

Both teams to score 49.16%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.5%

56.5%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.5%

77.49%

Cardiff City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.91%

31.09%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.59%

67.41%

Watford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.34%

28.66%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.53%

64.47%

Score Analysis

Cardiff City 34.27%

Watford 38.21%

Draw 27.5%

Cardiff City	Draw	Watford
1-0 @ 10.4% 2-1 @ 7.6% 2-0 @ 6.08% 3-1 @ 2.96% 3-0 @ 2.37% 3-2 @ 1.85% Other @ 3.01% Total : 34.27%	1-1 @ 13% 0-0 @ 8.91% 2-2 @ 4.75% Other @ 0.84% Total : 27.5%	0-1 @ 11.13% 1-2 @ 8.13% 0-2 @ 6.96% 1-3 @ 3.39% 0-3 @ 2.9% 2-3 @ 1.98% 1-4 @ 1.06% 0-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.76% Total : 38.21%

How you voted: Cardiff vs Watford

Cardiff City

36.0%

Draw

32.0%

Watford