Championship

Championship | Gameweek 41

Apr 10, 2021 at 3pm UK

Adams Park

Wycombe
1 - 3
Luton

Mehmeti (37' pen.)
Mehmeti (56')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Moncur (80'), LuaLua (85'), Adebayo (88')
Bradley (31')

Reaction

Wycombe Wanderers manager Gareth Ainsworth pictured in February 2021

Gareth Ainsworth hits out at referee after Luton defeat

The game flipped on its head when Josh Knight was sent off for a second-half lunge.

Apr 10, 17:40

The Match

Match Report

Anis Mehmeti's first-half penalty had put the hosts ahead.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Wycombe Wanderers and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 38.76%. A win for Wycombe Wanderers had a probability of 32.53% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.88%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest Wycombe Wanderers win was 1-0 (11.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Luton Town would win this match.

Result
Wycombe Wanderers	Draw	Luton Town
32.53%	28.71%	38.76%

Both teams to score 45.38%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.94%

61.06%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.96%

81.04%

Wycombe Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.36%

34.64%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.64%

71.36%

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.43%

30.57%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.2%

66.8%

Score Analysis

Wycombe Wanderers 32.53%

Luton Town 38.75%

Draw 28.69%

Wycombe Wanderers	Draw	Luton Town
1-0 @ 11.22% 2-1 @ 7.05% 2-0 @ 5.95% 3-1 @ 2.49% 3-0 @ 2.1% 3-2 @ 1.48% Other @ 2.23% Total : 32.53%	1-1 @ 13.3% 0-0 @ 10.58% 2-2 @ 4.18% Other @ 0.63% Total : 28.69%	0-1 @ 12.54% 1-2 @ 7.88% 0-2 @ 7.44% 1-3 @ 3.12% 0-3 @ 2.94% 2-3 @ 1.65% 1-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.26% Total : 38.75%

How you voted: Wycombe vs Luton

Wycombe Wanderers

54.5%

Draw

18.2%

Luton Town

27.3%