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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 46.4%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Luton Town had a probability of 26.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.04%) and 1-2 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.72%), while for a Luton Town win it was 1-0 (9.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Luton Town | Draw | Barnsley |
| 26.48% | 27.12% | 46.4% |
| Both teams to score 46.94% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.29% | 57.72% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.54% | 78.46% |
| Luton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.47% | 37.53% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.69% | 74.31% |
| Barnsley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.13% | 24.87% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.53% | 59.48% |
| Score Analysis |
| Luton Town | Draw | Barnsley |
| 1-0 @ 9.15% 2-1 @ 6.24% 2-0 @ 4.48% 3-1 @ 2.04% 3-0 @ 1.46% 3-2 @ 1.42% Other @ 1.7% Total : 26.48% | 1-1 @ 12.72% 0-0 @ 9.33% 2-2 @ 4.34% Other @ 0.72% Total : 27.11% | 0-1 @ 12.98% 0-2 @ 9.04% 1-2 @ 8.86% 0-3 @ 4.19% 1-3 @ 4.11% 2-3 @ 2.01% 0-4 @ 1.46% 1-4 @ 1.43% Other @ 2.32% Total : 46.39% |