Championship

Championship | Gameweek 38

Mar 20, 2021 at 3pm UK

Vicarage Road

Watford
3 - 0
Birmingham

Sema (4'), Chalobah (55'), Gray (80')
Success (44')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Pedersen (35')

Reaction

Watford manager Xisco Munoz pictured in February 2021

Xisco Munoz "very happy" with Nathaniel Chalobah in Birmingham win

New Birmingham manager Lee Bowyer was upbeat in spite of his side's defeat.

Mar 20, 18:35

The Match

Match Report

It was a thoroughly deserved victory for Xisco Munoz's side, who made it five successive victories in the Championship.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Watford and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 56.71%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 17.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.03%) and 2-1 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.6%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 0-1 (7.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Watford would win this match.

Result
Watford	Draw	Birmingham City
56.71%	25.33%	17.97%

Both teams to score 41.99%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.02%

58.98%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.55%

79.45%

Watford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.15%

20.86%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.45%

53.55%

Birmingham City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.05%

46.95%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.55%

82.45%

Score Analysis

Watford 56.71%

Birmingham City 17.97%

Draw 25.32%

Watford	Draw	Birmingham City
1-0 @ 15.35% 2-0 @ 12.03% 2-1 @ 9.1% 3-0 @ 6.29% 3-1 @ 4.75% 4-0 @ 2.46% 4-1 @ 1.86% 3-2 @ 1.8% Other @ 3.08% Total : 56.71%	1-1 @ 11.6% 0-0 @ 9.79% 2-2 @ 3.44% Other @ 0.49% Total : 25.32%	0-1 @ 7.4% 1-2 @ 4.39% 0-2 @ 2.8% 1-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.27% Total : 17.97%

How you voted: Watford vs Birmingham

Watford

77.8%

Draw

13.1%

Birmingham City

9.1%