Championship Gameweek 38
Mar 20, 2021 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Vicarage Road
  • Ken Sema 4' goal
  • Isaac Success 44' yellowcard
  • Nathaniel Chalobah 55' goal
  • Andre Gray 80' goal
  • yellowcard Kristian Pedersen 35'

Watford vs Birmingham City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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News

The match

Result
Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Watford

All competitions
Last game
Mar 16, 2021 7.00pm
Rotherham 1 - 4 Watford
Goals scored
63
Top scorer
Ismaila Sarr

Birmingham City

All competitions
Last game
Mar 17, 2021 7.45pm
Birmingham 2 - 1 Reading
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
Lukas Jutkiewicz

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 56.71%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 17.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.03%) and 2-1 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.6%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 0-1 (7.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Watford would win this match.

Result

Watford 56.71%
Draw 25.33%
Birmingham City 17.97%

Both Teams to Score: 

41.99%

Goals

Over 2.5 41.02%
Under 2.5 58.98%
Over 3.5 20.55%
Under 3.5 79.45%

Watford Goals

Over 0.5 79.15%
Under 0.5 20.86%
Over 1.5 46.45%
Under 1.5 53.55%

Birmingham City Goals

Over 0.5 53.05%
Under 0.5 46.95%
Over 1.5 17.55%
Under 1.5 82.45%

Score analysis

Watford 56.71%
Draw 25.32%
Birmingham City 17.97%
Watford
1-0 @ 15.35%
2-0 @ 12.03%
2-1 @ 9.1%
3-0 @ 6.29%
3-1 @ 4.75%
4-0 @ 2.46%
4-1 @ 1.86%
3-2 @ 1.8%
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 56.71%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.6%
0-0 @ 9.79%
2-2 @ 3.44%
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 25.32%
Birmingham City
0-1 @ 7.4%
1-2 @ 4.39%
0-2 @ 2.8%
1-3 @ 1.11%
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 17.97%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 18
Dec 12, 2020 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT St. Andrew's Stadium
  • Maikel Kieftenbeld 15' yellowcard
  • Kristian Pedersen 57' yellowcard
  • Kristian Pedersen 84' redcard
  • goal Troy Deeney 85'
  • yellowcard Etienne Capoue 90'+1'
Championship
Apr 18, 2015 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Craig Cathcart 56' goal
  • Craig Cathcart 61' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jonathan Grounds 58'
Championship
Nov 4, 2014 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Clayton Donaldson 3' goal
  • David Davis 51' yellowcard
  • Clayton Donaldson 86' goal
  • goal Fernando Forestieri 7'
  • yellowcard Keith Andrews 81'
  • yellowcard Troy Deeney 89'
Championship
Feb 11, 2014 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Troy Deeney 33' goal
  • Hector Bellerin 84' yellowcard
  • Fernando Forestieri 90' yellowcard
Championship
Aug 3, 2013 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Dan Burn 37' yellowcard
  • Tom Adeyemi 40' yellowcard
  • Paul Robinson 45' yellowcard
  • Lee Novak 86' yellowcard
  • goal Troy Deeney 11'
  • yellowcard Cristian Battocchio 71'
Championship
Feb 16, 2013 3.00pm
0
4
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Paul Robinson 18' yellowcard
  • Peter Lovenkrands 78' yellowcard
  • goal Troy Deeney 38'
  • goal Iketchi Anya 43'
  • goal Troy Deeney 62'
  • goal Almen Abdi 89'